Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001820 0.001930 0.002044 0.002170 0.002306 0.002449 0.002611
2025-04-27 0.001674 0.001830 0.001998 0.002194 0.002414 0.002657 0.002946
2025-05-04 0.001588 0.001778 0.001989 0.002242 0.002539 0.002879 0.003299
2025-05-11 0.001535 0.001753 0.002002 0.002309 0.002681 0.003119 0.003683
2025-05-18 0.001468 0.001705 0.001981 0.002329 0.002761 0.003287 0.003984
2025-05-25 0.001380 0.001624 0.001913 0.002285 0.002757 0.003345 0.004146
2025-06-01 0.001313 0.001564 0.001866 0.002262 0.002774 0.003427 0.004339
2025-06-08 0.001273 0.001534 0.001853 0.002278 0.002840 0.003572 0.004622
2025-06-15 0.001220 0.001484 0.001812 0.002255 0.002852 0.003644 0.004808
2025-06-22 0.001174 0.001442 0.001778 0.002239 0.002870 0.003724 0.005005
2025-06-29 0.001131 0.001401 0.001743 0.002219 0.002880 0.003791 0.005186
2025-07-06 0.001085 0.001353 0.001698 0.002182 0.002864 0.003819 0.005310
2025-07-13 0.001019 0.001281 0.001620 0.002103 0.002792 0.003771 0.005332
2025-07-20 0.000996 0.001264 0.001616 0.002125 0.002865 0.003940 0.005701
2025-07-27 0.000983 0.001260 0.001629 0.002172 0.002976 0.004172 0.006188
2025-08-03 0.000977 0.001265 0.001654 0.002235 0.003115 0.004455 0.006783
2025-08-10 0.000956 0.001249 0.001648 0.002254 0.003187 0.004636 0.007223
2025-08-17 0.000917 0.001206 0.001603 0.002212 0.003160 0.004659 0.007387
2025-08-24 0.000888 0.001174 0.001573 0.002190 0.003165 0.004730 0.007643
2025-08-31 0.000871 0.001160 0.001567 0.002205 0.003229 0.004904 0.008100
2025-09-07 0.000844 0.001132 0.001539 0.002184 0.003231 0.004973 0.008365
2025-09-14 0.000821 0.001107 0.001515 0.002169 0.003243 0.005058 0.008667
2025-09-21 0.000798 0.001082 0.001490 0.002149 0.003246 0.005127 0.008944